Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.164263 0.193435 0.226031 0.265119 0.310689 0.362108 0.424501
2025-10-05 0.126303 0.165495 0.213890 0.277902 0.360204 0.462323 0.598517
2025-10-12 0.106592 0.151146 0.210365 0.294523 0.410720 0.565147 0.785588
2025-10-19 0.090765 0.137405 0.203278 0.302586 0.447932 0.652204 0.960322
2025-10-26 0.077129 0.123671 0.193000 0.303050 0.472488 0.722434 1.117813
2025-11-02 0.064425 0.108869 0.178361 0.293953 0.480274 0.767379 1.241374
2025-11-09 0.053383 0.094727 0.162350 0.279817 0.477342 0.794173 1.338168
2025-11-16 0.046991 0.087199 0.155722 0.279546 0.495911 0.855798 1.495991
2025-11-23 0.040478 0.078398 0.145611 0.271723 0.500275 0.893740 1.617496
2025-11-30 0.036903 0.074353 0.143178 0.276853 0.527345 0.972354 1.816296
2025-12-07 0.033160 0.069411 0.138393 0.276902 0.544911 1.035581 1.993653
2025-12-14 0.029218 0.063480 0.130931 0.270815 0.550038 1.076345 2.133367
2025-12-21 0.025931 0.058620 0.125340 0.268537 0.563941 1.138134 2.326088
2025-12-28 0.024521 0.057558 0.127331 0.282011 0.611152 1.269674 2.670568
2026-01-04 0.023522 0.057231 0.130778 0.298918 0.667374 1.424974 3.079579
2026-01-11 0.021892 0.055197 0.130242 0.307102 0.706067 1.548749 3.437331
2026-01-18 0.019880 0.051929 0.126487 0.307573 0.727929 1.639628 3.735479
2026-01-25 0.017477 0.047306 0.118966 0.298345 0.726839 1.681103 3.931090
2026-02-01 0.015083 0.042305 0.109829 0.284006 0.712070 1.690682 4.056609
2026-02-08 0.013764 0.039899 0.106667 0.283730 0.730418 1.776465 4.364169
2026-02-15 0.012210 0.036592 0.100772 0.275794 0.729112 1.816655 4.569729
2026-02-22 0.011440 0.035350 0.100034 0.280998 0.761116 1.938621 4.982631
2026-03-01 0.010519 0.033519 0.097476 0.281048 0.779939 2.030702 5.332429